Book Nate Silver

Nate Silver is an American statistician, political analyst and author who made data-driven forecasting a mainstream conversation. Born in 1978, he started out as a transfer pricing consultant at KPMG in Chicago, where on the side he developed PECOTA, a system for projecting baseball player performance, which he took to Baseball Prospectus. He became a household name after his election model correctly called 49 of 50 states in the 2008 presidential race, a feat that landed him on Time's list of the world's 100 most influential people in 2009, and his later models called the 2012 and 2020 elections with high accuracy. He founded FiveThirtyEight, led it as editor-in-chief and also served ABC News as a special correspondent until 2023. Today he publishes the newsletter Silver Bulletin and advises Polymarket. His book The Signal and the Noise (2012) won the Phi Beta Kappa Award in Science in 2013, and he followed it with On the Edge. He also holds a Webby Award. A sought-after speaker, Silver explains risk, probability and uncertainty in clear, entertaining terms, drawing on politics, sports and poker to show audiences how to think better about the future.